So, with 3 hurricanes having hit the united states, in the last week, after 3 consecutive hottest years ever there is absolutely no reason we are not now proceeding with haste towards a rapid shift in our energy systems. By haste, I mean, aiming to cut GHG’s by 80% over the next 5 years, missing and getting it done in 8 at worst. I intend, that you will put forth significant effort- in words, and in deeds, to make this happen, now.
Though it should be obvious to be people who are actively seeking information that will best serve to keep themselves and their children alive through the future, I will explain my way of thinking on the subject because it is a topic of great value to all people, in this sea of disinformation and people regurgitating without processing critically the information given to them by members of their tribes- ethnic or adopted.
I’ve actually considered the possibility, in fairly decent depth, whether or not it is all a hoax, or over exaggerated by the admittedly much smaller and insular circle of experts in the necessary subject matter, and come to the conclusion- it doesn’t matter. In the military, the concept for making decisions on impartial information- always present, as your enemies rarely email their battle plans- is the term “actionable intelligence” You have to make a decision, it’s life or death based upon your decisions.
Risks of inaction? Literally everything- the lives of our children, the knowledge and infrastructures built by our fore fathers. Risks of action? Feeling a bit sheepish- not being sure whether you preserved mankind or just really hurried something that should have been done anyway, since pollution kills more people than 9/11 every year. Rewards of inaction- Really really rich people get richer, and certain really useful and skilled people will continue to be employed. Rewards of action- millions of jobs, better homes for Americans, building together to incorporate all that we know about living well, conserving the most of our resources.
1. Consensus of experts… some wise acres, like to quibble with 97% of scientists. Don’t care, doesn’t matter. If it was 72.5, in agreement or 37% with really strong agreement and 27% agreement. People argue a lot. Scientist argue, a lot, though much of it is incomprehensible to most people, they, like Muslims, Jews and American citizens, cannot be accurately represented under a single umbrella. Anything over 50% and considerably less agreement, of the experts, is worth a really good listen, to see if they are right, rather than looking for opinions to see if they are wrong. Because their years of study usually add up to more than your quick looks at something. I will question a profession- the law- in just such a manner but I will explain to you the difference.
2. Scientists, more so than any other profession is about getting it right. Because lying doesn’t help much- in order for you to get any lab cred, somebody else has to take your work and recreate it, usually in a different country, and also confirm you ain’t full of it to get any long term notice. Even then, you’ll probably be dead before you get the award. See- a Nobel Peace Prize, they give you on the off chance you might try to do something good for some group of people at sometime, even if you might help with Genocide somewhere else, and they don’t wait for the actual accomplishments. (see Henry Kissenger)The prize for Watson and Crick (found the structure of DNA) took 11 years, and that was fast. Scientists find out stuff by checking it re checking and then re checking it again, and then having other people question it for years before it is accepted. They should be questioned, but with the presumption that rightly or wrongly, there’s been a real careful look at those things, and real good reasons for what is being said.
3. If a person suggests that a politician or an oil salesman is more reputable than most scientists put together, that person is actually saying, stop listening to me.